ATTRIBUTION

Know your real CAC.
Not the fantasy.

Bayesian MMM + geo holdouts + LLM referral tracking. The first attribution system that includes AI-driven discovery in the model. Measure what actually drives installs.

MMM
BAYESIAN MODEL
7
SURFACES ATTRIBUTED
Geo
HOLDOUT TESTING
Real
CAC MEASUREMENT
THREE PILLARS

Attribution that works.

Last-touch attribution is broken. Probabilistic matching is theatre. We use three complementary methods to give you the truth.

Bayesian MMM

Marketing Mix Modelling that actually works for mobile. Our Bayesian model decomposes your install volume by channel, accounting for organic lift, seasonality, and cross-channel effects.

Bayesian
MARKETING MIX MODEL

Geo holdouts

Run incrementality tests by holding out geographic regions from specific campaigns. Measure the true incremental impact of each channel without relying on last-touch attribution.

Causal
INCREMENTALITY TESTS

LLM referral tracking

For the first time, measure installs that originated from an AI recommendation. Connect LLM Tracker visibility data to actual install outcomes and attribute revenue to AI surfaces.

AI
REFERRAL ATTRIBUTION
THE PROBLEM

Last-touch is a lie.

A user sees your app recommended by Claude, searches for it on the App Store, then clicks a branded Google Ad. Last-touch attributes the install to Google Ads. Your AI visibility gets zero credit.

Bayesian MMM solves this by modelling the contribution of every channel simultaneously. Geo holdouts validate the model with causal experiments. LLM referral tracking adds the AI surface to the equation.

Questions about attribution methodology? Reach out at info@donkeyideas.com.

SAMPLE · CHANNEL DECOMPOSITION
Organic (App Store Search)34%
LLM Referrals18%
Paid (Google UAC)22%
Paid (Apple Search Ads)14%
Social / Referral8%
Organic (Play Store)4%
LLM REFERRALS · 18% OF INSTALLS · PREVIOUSLY UNTRACKED
CAPABILITIES

Full attribution stack.

Cross-surface attribution

Attribute installs across all 7 surfaces — including LLM referrals. See which surfaces drive discovery and which drive conversion, even when users cross between them.

Real CAC measurement

Stop reporting attributed CAC that makes your Facebook campaigns look profitable. Measure actual cost of acquisition including organic cannibalisation.

Channel decomposition

Break down your install volume by channel contribution. See how much is truly organic, how much is paid lift, and how much is AI-driven discovery.

Budget optimisation

Use MMM outputs to optimise budget allocation across channels. See where your next dollar drives the most incremental installs.

Lift analysis

Measure the incremental lift of individual campaigns, creative changes, or metadata updates. Quantify the ROI of your ASO efforts.

Reporting & exports

Pre-built dashboards for weekly and monthly attribution reports. Export to CSV, connect via API, or push to your data warehouse via webhooks.

Measure what actually
drives installs.

Bayesian MMM + geo holdouts + LLM referral tracking. Available on Enterprise plans. 14-day free trial includes Attribution preview.

QUESTIONS? EMAIL INFO@DONKEYIDEAS.COM